New York Yankees vs San Francisco Giants Predictions, Odds & Player-Prop Picks for June 2
by Sascha Paruk in MLB Baseball
Updated Jun 2, 2024 · 9:48 AM PDT
Jun 1, 2024; San Francisco, California, USA; New York Yankees outfielders Alex Verdugo (24) (left), Aaron Judge (99) (center) and Juan Soto (22) celebrate after the last out of the game against the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park. Mandatory Credit: Robert Edwards-USA TODAY SportsThe AL-leading New York Yankees go for a sweep of the San Francisco Giants on Sunday afternoonStruggling ace Blake Snell gets the ball for the Giants while Nestor Cortes goes for the PinstripesSee the Yankees vs Giants predictions, odds, and best player-prop picks for Sunday, June 2
Leading the American League in win percentage (.683) and the entire majors in run differential (+105), the New York Yankees (41-19) look to stay hot on Sunday afternoon when they have a chance to sweep the San Francisco Giants (29-30) on the road at AT&T Park at 1:05 pm PT/4:05 pm ET.
Funky lefty Nestor Cortes toes the rubber for the visitors while the Giants trot out struggling two-time Cy Young-winner Blake Snell in the series finale.
New York Yankees vs San Francisco Giants Picks
New York Yankees moneyline (-140) at Caesars SportsbookBlake Snell first earned run allowed (-140) at DraftKings Sportsbook
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The Yankees won the first two games of the series by a combined score of 13-5 and now have the opportunity to feast on a flailing Blake Snell who’s been awful in his first five starts of the season. Coming off his second Cy Young award, Snell has been arguably the worst pitcher in baseball this year, with an ERA still in double-digits (10.42) over a third of the way through the season.
Last time out, Snell lasted just 4.0 innings against the Phillies, allowing four runs (three earned) on five hits and two walks with seven strikeouts (his highest K total of the season). He has fallen off the board entirely when it comes to the 2024 Cy Young odds.
Snell does at least have solid numbers against the Yankee lineup over his career. In 79 total at-bats, New York hitters are slashing just .179/.347/.308 against Snell with three home runs (courtesy Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, Alex Verdugo).
But the Blake Snell of years past is not the same pitcher we’ve seen in 2024 and, until he actually shows signs of turning it around, I will continue to fade him. Don’t forget that, following his first Cy Young season in 2018 (when he had a 1.89 ERA and 0.97 WHIP), he came back with a 4.29 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in 2019. In other words, Snell’s struggles – though they don’t often arise – have a history of being prolonged when they do.
Cortes, on the other hand, is having another rock-solid season with a 3.30 ERA and 1.06 WHIP through 11 starts. He’s been particularly good in his last three, allowing just two earned runs total over 17.1 innings against the White Sox, Mariners, and Angels.
Cortes will also have a novelty edge against the vast majority of the Giants lineup. Only two San Francisco hitters have ever faced Cortes’ janky delivery before: Matt Chapman (3-for-14) and Jorge Soler (0-for-2). Expect another quality outing from the 29-year-old lefty.
NYY vs SFG Starting Pitchers
Nestor CortesVSBlake Snell
3-4 | Record | 0-3 |
3.30 | ERA | 10.42 |
2.95 | xERA | 4.98 |
1.06 | WHIP | 2.00 |
23.6% | K% | 24.7% |
Despite their electric offense, the Yankees have been one of the best under bets in baseball this year, going 26-32-2 over/under. The Giants on the other hand have been one of the best over teams this season with a 26-32-2 O/U record through their first 60 games. Snell’s bloated ERA has been a big part of that. His five starts this season have all featured at least nine runs scored, in total, and averaged 13.2 RPG.
Sascha Paruk’s 2024 MLB betting record: 14-10 (+0.42 units)
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