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Welcome back to another Wednesday of WNBA picks and predictions! We have a full 5-game afternoon slate of WNBA action as we dive into best bets today. Check out these picks for the Las Vegas Aces vs. Seattle Storm and the Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury. Note that all betting lines are accurate as of this writing, but shop around for the best odds. Enjoy these top WNBA predictions and betting picks!
- Consensus WNBA Odds
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Wednesday’s Best WNBA Bets
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Dallas Wings at Phoenix Mercury (-7.5) €“ 173.5 O/U (-110/-110)
One of Wednesday afternoon’s matchups features the Phoenix Mercury hosting the Dallas Wings in a Western Conference showdown. This will be the fourth meeting between the Mercury and Wings this season. All three previous matchups hit the over, and that’s the angle we’re targeting today.
The Wings have the worst defense in the WNBA, allowing a league-high in opposing points per game (89.2), field goal percentage (46.2%), field goals made per game (32.5), and assists per game (22.6). Teams are regularly having their way offensively against Dallas, especially lately. The Wings have given up 90+ points in nine of their last 13 games with 92.8 PPG allowed during this stretch.
In turn, the Wings’ terrible defense usually results in high-scoring games. They are 7-1 to the over in the past eight contests and 14-7-1 to the over this season. Dallas also plays at the third-fastest tempo in the league.
Phoenix certainly has the offensive firepower to exploit this matchup. The Mercury are averaging 83.0 PPG this season (4th in WNBA) while playing at the fourth-quickest pace in the league. Kahleah Copper (22.6 PPG), Diana Taurasi (16.6 PPG), and Natasha Cloud (12.4 PPG, 7.3 APG) make up one of the best backcourts in the WNBA. Brittney Griner, though, has been an offensive X-factor over the past month. The veteran center is averaging 20.2 PPG over the past 10 games.
The Mercury put up 104, 97, and 92 points against Dallas in the three previous meetings this year. We should see another big scoring output at home today. At the same time, Phoenix’s defense has struggled while allowing 84.8 PPG (4th-most in WNBA) and a league-high 26.8 three-point attempts per game.
Dallas has the scorers to put up its fair share of points as well. Arike Ogunbowale is second in the league in scoring (23.1 PPG) while the Wings are putting up 81.0 PPG this year. The offense has also recently gotten a boost from Natasha Howard (16.6 PPG) returning from injury and Odyssey Sims (14.8 PPG) signing a couple of weeks ago.
WNBA Pick: Over 173.5 Total Points (-110)
Las Vegas Aces (-5) at Seattle Storm €“ 173.5 O/U (-110/-110)
The marquee WNBA matchup on Wednesday features two of the best teams in the league. The Seattle Storm play host to the Las Vegas Aces in a showdown between a pair of top-tier squads. Let’s break down how to bet this game.
After an up-and-down start to the season, Las Vegas has won seven of its last eight games coming into today and is playing much more like the back-to-back champs. The Aces, led by MVP favorite A’ja Wilson, are averaging a league-high 89.4 PPG with arguably the best offense in the WNBA. They look even more dangerous lately with Chelsea Gray back healthy.
However, Seattle also boasts a potent offense to keep pace with Vegas today. The Storm average 84.1 PPG (third in WNBA) while playing at the second-fastest tempo (just behind the Aces). They have a balanced offensive attack with four double-digit scorers in Jewell Loyd (19.9 PPG), Nneka Ogwumike (17.5), Skylar Diggins-Smith (13.9), and Ezi Magbegor (13.4).
The Storm’s frontcourt duo of Ogwumike and Magbegor is especially important in this matchup to counter the Aces’ Wilson. As good as Las Vegas’ offense can be, their defense is not a strong spot while allowing 83.7 PPG and a league-high in both opposing field goal attempts per game and opposing three-point percentage (37.5%). That plays right into Seattle’s favor as a faster-paced offense that can match the Aces bucket-for-bucket.
On the other side, Seattle’s defense is much better. The Storm are fourth in points per game allowed (78.1 PPG), third in opposing field goal percentage (42.2%), fourth in opposing three-point percentage (32.6%), and third in defensive rating. They’ve held opponents to below 80 points in five of the last six games as well.
Getting Seattle as a home underdog is a great time to buy low. The Storm are 9-2 straight-up and 8-3 against the spread (ATS) at home this season, including 7-1 ATS over the past eight home games. The Aces, meanwhile, are just 3-5 ATS on the road and 1-4 ATS in the past five road contests.
WNBA Pick: Seattle Storm +5 (-112)
For more information on how to bet futures, check out our Betting 101 series>>
