Orioles vs Yankees Predictions, Prop Picks & Odds for June 18
by Ethan Stone in MLB Baseball
Updated Jun 18, 2024 · 7:30 AM PDT
Jun 16, 2024; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Baltimore Orioles shortstop Gunnar Henderson (2) hits a home run against the Philadelphia Phillies during the first inning at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Mandatory Credit: Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY SportsThe Baltimore Orioles and New York Yankees face off in a clash of the titans Tuesday night in the Bronx.The Orioles and Yankees are 2 of the top 5 teams in major league baseball and sit at No. 1 and No. 2 in the AL East. The Yankees have the No. 1 record in the majors while the Orioles have the No. 3 record in the majors.See the best picks, odds and a prediction for Tuesday’s game below.
We’ve got a good one tonight, folks.
The New York Yankees (50-24, 22-10 Home) host the Baltimore Orioles (47-24, 22-10 Away) for a battle between 2 of the top 3 teams in Major League Baseball, as well as the top teams in the AL East (Sorry, Red Sox).
Tonight’s matchup is full of top 5 superlatives across major league baseball, to a level that’s almost shocking. The Yankees are No. 1 in wins, team ERA and RBIs, No. 2 in home runs and No. 2 in OBP and SLG%. Baltimore, on the other hand, sits at No. 1 in home runs, total bases, SLG% and OPS and No. 2 in RBIs and Team ERA.
Let’s dive in.
Orioles vs. Yankees Odds
Team | Runline | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Baltimore Orioles | +1.5 (-160) | +125 | O 9 (-115) |
New York Yankees | -1.5 (+135) | -150 | U 9 (-105) |
Odds above via BetMGM Sportsbook. Check out our BetMGM Promo Code SBD 1500 for a look at one of the best welcome offers in the business.
The Yankees, as expected, are listed as favorites for Tuesday night’s AL East battle in the Bronx. The Yankees own the moneyline at -150 while Baltimore sits at +125. Alternatively, the Orioles are fairly significant favorites to keep the game within a run at -160. New York sits at +135 to win by more than a run.
Trends can only be taken with a grain of salt when facing the best team in the league. The Yankees have struggled in division games against the runline this season, sitting at 8-11 in such contests. New York is 16-14 as the home favorite against the runline. The Orioles, meanwhile, are a near perfect 8-1 as the away underdog against the runline and 18-5 in division games against the runline.
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The Over/Under is set at 9 for this matchup, with the over slightly favored at a mostly inconsequential -115. The Orioles have hit the over in 18 of their 32 away matchups this season (with 3 pushes) while New York is a perfect 15-15 against the over as the home favorite. To add to this, New York is 16-16 at home against the over.
So, not much help there for tonight’s battle.
Orioles vs. Yankees Best Value Player Props (June 18)
Player Props (Los Angeles vs. Texas) | Odds |
---|---|
Nestor Cortes Over 5.5Ks | +100 |
Adley Rutschman Over 1.5 Total Bases | +105 |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Strikeouts | +130 |
All odds above via DraftKings Sportsbook.
Nestor Cortes is not necessarily known for being a strikeout pitcher, but he’s performed very well against the Orioles in the past. Baltimore’s lineup is hitting just .216 against Cortes with 50 strikeouts across 139 at-bats. He’s especially had success against Gunnar Henderson and Ryan Mountcastle, striking out Henderson in 6 of their 7 faceoffs and Mountcastle in 11 of his 21 at-bats.
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Rutschman is by far Baltimore’s best hitter against Nestor Cortes across their respective careers. He’s hitting .538 across 16 at-bats with 8 hits and a double. There’s a chance we could be in for a multi-hit game from Rutschman (Odds +190 on DK).
Henderson, as has been stated, has struggled against Cortes across his career. He’s had a high propensity for strikeouts this season anyway and he’s performing on the road tonight.
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction (June 18)
I love the over in this matchup. The Yankees and Orioles are the 2 best offensive teams in the league and neither starting pitcher is likely to go past 5 innings or so (especially with Cortez pitching 7.1 his last outing on Thursday). Yankees ML is not a bad play either for those looking to play the outcome, though there is some risk involved at -150.
The Yankees need this series win after dropping 2 to the Red Sox and 2 to the Dodgers a week ago. With them returning home to Yankee Stadium and the Orioles exhausted having just played the monster Phillies (also, 2-2 in their last 4 all at home), the momentum seems to be pointing slightly in New York’s favor.
Yankees vs. Orioles pick: Over 9 (-115),